NATO to Russia: Try it and you'll regret it | News in Depth

NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe, Gen. Alexus Grynkewich, unveiled a new “Theory of Victory” at the Warsaw Security Forum. The deterrence concept is based on three principles: block, blunt and break. “Speaking publicly about this concept is also a message to Russia: don’t try to attack us, because you will regret it,” says Adm. Rob Bauer (Ret.), Former Chair of the NATO Military Committee, in News in Depth. He adds that if the message has the backing of the White House, it demonstrates that the U.S. remains committed to the Alliance and continues to support Article 5.

One of the key elements of Gen. Grynkewich’s remarks was the public discussion of the “break” phase, meaning the defeat of a potential Russian attack across all domains of warfare. “We would use long-range precision strikes,” Bauer stresses. He also agrees with Grynkewich’s assessment that a conflict between NATO and Russia is neither imminent nor inevitable.

Join Marcin Zaborowski and his guest as they discuss NATO’s new “Theory of Victory,” the Alliance’s deterrence strategy, the role of long-range strikes in collective defense, and whether the risk of a NATO–Russia conflict is growing.

Chapters:
00:00 - Intro
00:25 - NATO unveils its "Theory of Victory"
01:41 - Why is NATO talking about its strategy publicly?
02:13 - The U.S. remains committed to Article 5
07:23 - Understanding the "break" phase
09:54 - Can NATO defend the Suwałki Gap?
14:30 - The future of the U.S. military presence in Europe
16:20 - Smaller NATO cooperation formats

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